May 2008 Archives

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Whether you are just dabbling in Forex or doing full-blown Forex trading, it is vital that you stay on top of Forex news. In fact, some day traders say that following news around the world can be somewhat addicting. With globalization in the news nearly every day, it seems there is always something of interest going on.

Financial News

Here are a few interesting examples of recent Forex news stories that FX day traders found interesting. Forex currencies are always traded in pairs, so stories refer to two different currencies. These Forex news stories directly relate to currency and finance.

-A recent story reported that retail traders had just tipped to a net short positioning on the same day that the British pound gained a 200 point plus rally.

-Forex traders watch the U.S. housing slump very carefully, gauging the market for mortgage futures.

-When the U.S. Fed made its recent rate cut, one Forex news service reported that expectations for the U.S. Dollar were “falling like a rock.”

-Recession fears in the United States may drive the dollar even lower than it already is. (In Forex trading, the fact that the dollar drops is not considered negative, as long as the trader leverages the drop when trading for higher priced, more valuable currencies around the glove.

Political News

Currency and financial news are not the only news stories of interest to Forex investors and traders. Forex traders are also interested in political news that can have an impact on a country’s currency.

-Tragic events like the assassination of a political leader can affect currency futures in the country where the event occurs and can have a ripple effect in surrounding areas for example, the assassination of Benazir Bhutto in Pakistan.

-Natural disasters like an earthquake, hurricane, or typhoon can consume a great deal of a country’s resources therefore, Forex traders watch news of such disasters.

-Political events, like the U.S. presidential election cycle, has significant effects on currency valuation therefore, Forex news contains updates on presidential candidates, primary elections, and general elections.

News Analysis

Forex news services add value to the news stories they provide by analyzing current events and predicting how they will affect the exchange rates of various currencies around the globe.

Some popular sources for Forex research and analysis are Daily FX, Rabobank Technical FX Daily, Scotia FX, TRL, Mizuho Corporate Bank, CIBC World Markets, BHF Bank, and Mellon Foreign Exchange.

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With the advent of globalization and communication technology, traders now enjoy the ability to profit across all countries and economies. Regardless if you are a trader sitting in New York or Shanghai, you can grow your portfolio by capitalizing upon the Forex trading of the Japanese Yen or the Indian Rupee.Subsequently, the foreign currency exchange, also known as Forex trading, has grown to be the largest financial market – with over 3 trillion US dollars traded each day. Most of this Forex market is traded by private investors and traders, who see the ripe opportunities that exist in Forex trading.Basics of the Forex trading market – The Foreign Exchange market operates 24 hours a day, allowing traders to capitalize upon profitable opportunities throughout the world. Whether by telephone or the internet, the Forex trading market is constantly connected, affording currency traders the ability to seize profitable trades, regardless of their local time zones, market hours, or country boundaries.The foreign currency trading market is commonly referred to as the interbank market. Forex trading involves the buying of one currency and the selling of another. The particular currency combination is referred to as a cross (for example, the Euro/GB Pound, or the US Dollar/Japanese Yen.).Types of Forex trading strategies – The largest volume of trades occurs in what is called a spot market. It is referred to as the spot market because trades are instantaneously settled, or “on the spot.”Another type of trade using Forex trading strategies involves “forward outbreaks.” Although the trade itself is carried out immediately, settlement on the value date involves a small interest rate calculation which is usually insignificant, unless the position is held for a long time. The interest rate differential varies based on the currencies traded. This differential in interest rates between the two countries involved can produce a positive or a negative differential, which is calculated and added to your account.Increasing your Forex trading power – Because Forex trading is done on margin, the amount of assets controlled is far greater than the funds in an account. As fluctuations in forex currency exchange rates on any given day are small, the fact that forex trading is done on margin allows for very profitable Forex trading strategies. None the less, it should be noted that trading on margin can greatly increases your risks. Because of this aspect, any new investor should thoroughly learn Forex trading through Forex courses.The Benefits of Forex trading – Forex trading offers multiple advantages to other financial investment markets. One of the principal advantages is the fact that trading occurs around the clock, allowing the investor with the appropriate Forex trading strategies to immediately take advantage of opportunities. The Forex market is the most liquid financial market in the world, allowing for price stability and narrow spreads.Since currency exchange rates are always changing, Forex trading opportunities are continuous, regardless of which direction the currency is moving.The interbank market is also often traded without commissions, which makes it attractive to an investor who wants to trade frequently. However, for ease of transaction, Forex trading also occurs on futures exchanges.However, as with all currency trading strategies, there is no reward without some risk. Any investor contemplating foreign currency trading should thoroughly learn Forex trading utilizing studying Forex exchange courses before implementing their Forex trading strategy.—Andrew Daigle is the owner and author of many successful websites including ForexBoost, a free Forex educational site to learn Forex trading strategies and a Free Forex Training blog for keeping online Forex trading records.

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People sometimes view forex trading as gambling. Some who follow the random market theory support this view. Technical analysis experts would argue that technical analysis Forex techniques stack the odds in the favour of the trader. Sound money management and risk management are another ways of increasing the odds in the favour of the traderHow much do the odds have to be in the favour of the trader for them to make money? Often a trading success rate of 70% to 80% is assumed as the requirement to make money. At 70% your gains would be $700 (assuming gains and losses of $100 per transactions) and losses would be $300 resulting in an overall gain of $400. Let’s take a closer look at this assumption.In Currency trading, when the price reaches strong resistance or support, the question is: will the price bounce back or violate the barrier? Good channel traders and support and resistance traders will tell you that in general there is a 70% chance of a bounce and only a 30% chance of a breakout. These are important statistics.The other statistic is that when there is a false breakout (60% of the time) it will only go say 25 pips past the barrier and then be forced back. Knowing this statistic is another big advantage for traders. Most indicators or trading methods have these kinds of statistics.The risk management technique that experienced traders use is the risk compared to reward ratio. Many will only enter trades that allow them to gain 200% of what they risk (their stop loss). This is a particularly powerful way of trading as they make $200 on successful deals and only lose $100 on positive deals. This means that if they had a 50% success transaction success rate, on 10 transactions, they would earn $ 1000 on successful transactions and only loose $500 on unsuccessful ones. A profit of $500 with only a 50% success rate. Much better than the $400 gain calculate above.Just like card counters who make money from BlackJack you need to develop the skill of stacking the odds in your favour when Forex trading. This means knowing technical analysis very well and knowing the characteristics of the forex market very well.BlackJack card counters also use money management to make money. When the packs are rich of high value cards they would progressively increase the value of their bets. They would bet very low or not participate when the odds are not favourable. This is one of the most neglected aspects of Forex trading and as a Forex trader you need to develop this skill.Remember the trader above who achieved a 50% success rate and made money because a 200 to 100 return on risk ratio was used. Now imagine that only 1 lot was used for higher risk trades and 2 lots were used higher probability trades. The gains will now be $2 000 ($200 x 5 x 2) and the losses $ 500 ($100 x 5 x 1). A $ 2000 gain compared to $ 500 loss. Now we talking. We are only using a 50% success rate. This $1500 profit at 50% accuracy compares well with the $400 profit at 70% accuracy.The above is only an introduction of how some successful traders do not let losses worry them as they have the odds stacked in their favour. Many trading firms (including ours) take their traders through a course of Casino game gambling odds to show them how easy it is to make money on the forex when you stack the odds in your favour.—Learn from David Lloyd who is a Forex trader at Expert4x Group.
Use trading probabilities to stack the trading odds in your favour by visiting Expert4x and having a look at the Forex trading, Forex alert and Casino games based services which will stack the odds in your favour.
We have alert services that have never had a losing day that apply the above techniques.

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